FISIP Online, Faculty of Social and Political Sciences (FISIP) UIN Syarif Hidayatullah held a National Seminar with the title "Measuring the Direction of the Russia-Ukraine Conflict" on Monday, March 7 2022 and was held online. The seminar aims to be a forum for discussion and exchange of views on the direction of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict and the possible impacts of Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

This seminar invited 5 speakers from diverse professional backgrounds consisting of senior diplomats, business people, energy sector players and academics. The five speakers are Drs. M. Wahid Supriyadi (Indonesian Ambassador to Russia, 2016-2020), Dra. Niniek K. Naryatie (Indonesian Ambassador to Ukraine, 2012-2016), Dr. Didit Ratam (Chairman of the Indonesian Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Russian Committee), Dr. Atep A Rofiq (UIN Jakarta/Chair of PERHAPI Industrial Relations), Faisal Nurdin Idris, Ph.D (Lecturer at HI FISIP UIN Jakarta).

In his presentation, Ambassador Wahid began to explain the history of relations between Russia and Ukraine which have been inseparable throughout history. The two of them can be likened to brothers or like Indonesia and Malaysia. Next, Ambassador Wahid explained the basis for Russia's military invasion of Ukraine, which, according to him, was because NATO broke a promise made in 1990 at a meeting between Foreign Minister James Baker and Mikhail Gorbachev which resulted in an agreement that NATO would not expand its territory or influence to the East. However, the reality is that neighboring Eastern European countries, including former members of the Warsaw Pact, have actually become members of NATO.

Meanwhile, Dr. Didit focuses more on the consequences of the conflict for Indonesia in the economic sector. The impact of the armed conflict between Russia and Ukraine for Indonesia can be seen from two things. The first is the macro impact which results in an increase in the prices of energy and commodities needed by Indonesia, the threat of inflation and a decrease in people's purchasing power in the midst of a pandemic. The second is the micro impact, namely the impact of bilateral relations which were affected by the Russian-Ukrainian war. This can be seen from the decline in trade volume and reduced potential for foreign exchange earnings from tourists. Another speaker is Dr. Atep A Rofiq highlighted the impact of the Russian-Ukrainian war on security and energy. The price of energy, namely oil and gas, has soared, which can lead to an increase in necessities, which in turn puts a burden on society.

At the end of the seminar, Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs 2014-2019 Dr. AM Fachir, who is currently a lecturer at HI FISIP UIN Jakarta, gave notes on the Russia-Ukraine war which was inseparable from the residue of the fragmentation of the Soviet Union which was still unfinished. This war has caused losses to Russia and Ukraine, of course both of them are calculating how long the war will last. This war also had an impact on bilateral cooperation (Russia and Ukraine) with various countries. Apart from that, the impact of the war on rising oil and gas and commodity prices due to disrupted supply chains . Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs AM Fachir sees that there is room for a solution, namely Russia asking for conducive conditions for leaving Ukraine, Ukraine's neutral status militarily, and an agreement to implement sanctions by Western countries.